Features Emerging Markets RSS

In-depth insight and analysis of key global, regional and country-specific economic, investing and policy trends by the Emerging Markets team.

  • G20: One for all

    G20: One for all

    The euro crisis will dominate the G20’s Cannes summit. But stark divisions between nations over policy also risk undermining the effectiveness of the group in tackling the deeper challenges facing the global economy

  • Emerging markets rally poised on a knife edge

    Emerging markets rally poised on a knife edge

    05 Dec 2011

    Analysts warn of dim outlook for asset class as risk appetite falters

  • FINANCIAL REGULATION: Through a glass darkly

    FINANCIAL REGULATION: Through a glass darkly

    04 Nov 2011

    Hopes remain high for meaningful progress towards a new financial regulatory system at this year’s G20 summit, but divisions between banks and regulators continue to cloud the picture

  • G20: One for all

    G20: One for all

    04 Nov 2011

    The euro crisis will dominate the G20’s Cannes summit. But stark divisions between nations over policy also risk undermining the effectiveness of the group in tackling the deeper challenges facing the global economy

  • EUROZONE CRISIS: Trial by fire

    EUROZONE CRISIS: Trial by fire

    03 Nov 2011

    Last week’s deal to save the eurozone left many questions unanswered – and failed to put an end to the crisis. As markets convulse following a shock move by Greece, time is running out for the single currency

  • GLOBAL ECONOMY: On the line

    GLOBAL ECONOMY: On the line

    03 Nov 2011

    While the eurozone crisis continues to cast its shadow, the more profound challenge facing policymakers is how to kick-start global growth

  • ARGENTINA: Business as usual

    ARGENTINA: Business as usual

    24 Sep 2011

    With a landslide showing in August’s primary elections, the re-election of President Cristina Fernández de Kirchner seems assured. So too does an economic platform that includes more of the same

  • BALTICS: Back from the brink

    BALTICS: Back from the brink

    24 Sep 2011

    After years of deep and bitter reforms, the Baltic states say they’re ready for anything – even another global financial crisis

  • CHINA: Moving targets

    CHINA: Moving targets

    24 Sep 2011

    China’s approach to migrant labour is changing in a way that could transform the lives of hundreds of millions of workers. It could also help fundamentally rebalance the world’s second-largest economy

  • CREDIT RATING AGENCIES: Under the influence

    CREDIT RATING AGENCIES: Under the influence

    24 Sep 2011

    Public anger at credit rating agencies has reawakened calls for a drastic reduction of their powers and for greater accountability. But a lack of credible alternatives suggests the solution to poor financial regulation may lie elsewhere

  • MICROFINANCE: Bloodied but unbowed

    MICROFINANCE: Bloodied but unbowed

    24 Sep 2011

    Microfinance has followed a remarkable year with 12 of its worst months to date. But as the industry comes under attack, its significance is unlikely to wane.

  • SAUDI ARABIA: A delicate balance

    SAUDI ARABIA: A delicate balance

    24 Sep 2011

    High oil prices are no longer a luxury for Saudi Arabia – they’re a necessity

  • TRADE: From Cairo to the Cape

    TRADE: From Cairo to the Cape

    24 Sep 2011

    A free trade area for Africa is still many years away – if at all. In the meanwhile, efforts to promote regional trade are finally bearing fruit.

  • VIETNAM: Wounded tiger

    VIETNAM: Wounded tiger

    24 Sep 2011

    Soaring inflation and currency devaluation have led many to question whether Vietnam’s leaders have the will to make the reforms necessary for the nation to fulfil its economic potential

  • BRAZIL: Turn of the tide

    BRAZIL: Turn of the tide

    23 Sep 2011

    Brazil’s surprise interest rate cut indicates that the government mix between monetary policy and fiscal policy is changing – as well as greater cooperation at the top

  • EUROZONE CRISIS: Survival of the fittest

    EUROZONE CRISIS: Survival of the fittest

    23 Sep 2011

    European leaders have to take decisive action to show they can handle the crisis – or resign themselves to the inevitable break-up of the euro

  • EUROZONE/ECB: Another man’s poison

    EUROZONE/ECB: Another man’s poison

    23 Sep 2011

    Mario Draghi is poised to take over an institution facing an unenviable set of challenges

  • FINANCIAL CENTRES: Curb your enthusiasm

    FINANCIAL CENTRES: Curb your enthusiasm

    23 Sep 2011

    What regional turmoil means for the Gulf’s financial hubs

  • GCC: United we stand?

    GCC: United we stand?

    23 Sep 2011

    The GCC states have demonstrated greater unity in response to the Arab Spring, but potential trouble may lie ahead

  • OFFSHORE RMB: Red herring?

    OFFSHORE RMB: Red herring?

    23 Sep 2011

    Recent months have seen an outsized level of excitement in global financial markets over the sale in Hong Kong of so-called ‘dim sum’ bonds. But there is reason to question the true scale of the offshore renminbi market and its potential growth

  • PAKISTAN: Day of reckoning

    PAKISTAN: Day of reckoning

    23 Sep 2011

    Pakistan’s economic stewards insist its vulnerabilities are limited. But a growing number of experts fear that without urgent action Pakistan’s large and persistent fiscal deficit could spell the economy’s undoing

  • RUSSIA: Tightening the grip

    RUSSIA: Tightening the grip

    23 Sep 2011

    The failure of two Russian banks over the past year and the departure of the banking regulator have raised awkward questions about the sector – and its management

  • SOUTH AFRICA: State of development

    SOUTH AFRICA: State of development

    23 Sep 2011

    A fight over foreign investment in South Africa has laid bare tensions at the highest levels of policymaking. It has also shown up deeper fears about how long a country can sustain wide income and opportunity gaps

  • SOVEREIGN WEALTH FUNDS: Once bitten

    SOVEREIGN WEALTH FUNDS: Once bitten

    23 Sep 2011

    Cast as the saviours of capitalism during the dark days of the financial crisis three years ago, sovereign wealth funds have so far avoided the limelight during recent market turmoil. But whether they stay in the shadows will depend more on politics than sound investment strategy

  • SYRIA: From within

    SYRIA: From within

    23 Sep 2011

    After six months of popular uprising, the Syrian state is no longer the impregnable fort it once was. Something irreversible may be under way as citizens – as well as the broader region – begin to contemplate life after Assad

  • ZIMBABWE: Limits of recovery

    ZIMBABWE: Limits of recovery

    23 Sep 2011

    Unless Zimbabwe can find a way to cure its political paralysis and to increase savings and investment, its dollarization-driven recovery could prove short-lived

  • BELARUS: End game

    BELARUS: End game

    22 Sep 2011

    Dual economic and political crises in Belarus have forced the question of when, not if, the country’s economic model will break down – and what will follow

  • EAST AFRICA FAMINE: Questions of life or death

    EAST AFRICA FAMINE: Questions of life or death

    22 Sep 2011

    The devastating famine in the Horn of Africa has raised profound questions over how disaster on such a monumental scale has been allowed to happen again

  • EGYPT: In transition

    EGYPT: In transition

    22 Sep 2011

    Egypt is awaiting transition from military to civilian rule. While the financial burden of the January uprisings is taking its toll, much now depends on politics

  • FINANCIAL REGULATION: In the slow lane

    FINANCIAL REGULATION: In the slow lane

    22 Sep 2011

    Experts fear plans for financial regulatory overhaul are being watered down, while others warn they are being introduced at the wrong time. But delaying meaningful reform of the global financial architecture will do little to prevent another Lehman

  • FINANCIAL REGULATORS: Wayward talent

    FINANCIAL REGULATORS: Wayward talent

    22 Sep 2011

    Doubts are growing over whether watchdogs can attract the best minds to fulfil an increasingly fraught mandate

  • GLOBAL INVESTMENT: New World Order

    GLOBAL INVESTMENT: New World Order

    22 Sep 2011

    Sovereign debt woes in the West have turned the global investment landscape on its head, as investors adjust to a world without a risk-free rate. As financial markets brace for another convulsion, asset managers are facing their toughest test yet

  • IMF: At the crossroads

    IMF: At the crossroads

    22 Sep 2011

    Christine Lagarde faces the challenge of restoring the IMF’s credibility while ensuring it remains at the frontline of global crisis response. Doing so may require substantially more resources – but also buy-in from the very shareholders who were left embittered by her selection process

  • INDIA: Field of dreams

    INDIA: Field of dreams

    22 Sep 2011

    India is actively seeking to outpace China in the years ahead. But its ambitious growth plans will be hard to achieve without radical expansion of its chronically underdeveloped manufacturing sector

  • LIBYA: As the dust settles

    LIBYA: As the dust settles

    22 Sep 2011

    After Gaddafi’s ousting, the main challenge facing Libya is to prevent the current jockeying for power descending into a destructive clash of competing ideologies. But at this stage, the only certainties seem to lie in the streets

  • NIGERIA: Road to reform

    NIGERIA: Road to reform

    22 Sep 2011

    Peaceful elections and keynote appointments have raised hopes that much-needed reforms may finally enable Nigeria to fulfil its potential

  • PERU: One for all

    PERU: One for all

    22 Sep 2011

    Ex-radical leftist Ollanta Humala is confounding opponents with his new-found pragmatism as Peru’s new leader. But his sweeping social agenda still has some observers unnerved

  • THAILAND: The promises of power

    THAILAND: The promises of power

    22 Sep 2011

    The incoming government of Yingluck Shinawatra has to turn political pledges into achievable policy

  • TURKEY: Stand and deliver

    TURKEY: Stand and deliver

    22 Sep 2011

    Turkey’s ruling party returned to power in June amid unprecedented public support. But a renewed global downturn has caught the Turkish economy heavily off balance

  • ARAB SPRING: Land and freedom

    ARAB SPRING: Land and freedom

    21 Sep 2011

    The stock-take of the Arab Spring post-Gaddafi remains complex. Revolutions in Egypt and Tunisia have yet to show transformative change, while uprisings in Yemen and elsewhere have faltered. The reckoning, it seems, will turn on Bahrain and Syria

  • CHINA: Degrees of freedom

    CHINA: Degrees of freedom

    21 Sep 2011

    With the global economy on the brink, all eyes are on China’s policymakers. But this time, they may be less willing to ride to the rescue

  • EM POLICY RESPONSE: A call to arms

    EM POLICY RESPONSE: A call to arms

    21 Sep 2011

    With the global economy on the brink once again, emerging market policymakers face the challenge of preserving growth while managing against the long-term effects of policy imbalances.

  • EUROPEAN BANKING CRISIS: Crunch time

    EUROPEAN BANKING CRISIS: Crunch time

    21 Sep 2011

    Coordinated central bank action last week provided only a temporary reprieve to Europe’s banking sector. Bankers on the front line now fear that the absence so far of a political solution to the eurozone crisis now threatens a deeper banking crisis than the last one in 2008

  • EUROZONE CONTAGION: Collateral damage

    EUROZONE CONTAGION: Collateral damage

    21 Sep 2011

    It was among the hardest hit regions anywhere by the global financial crisis. Three years later, grave doubts remain about the region’s preparedness for another shock

  • GLOBAL ECONOMY: Batten down the hatches

    GLOBAL ECONOMY: Batten down the hatches

    21 Sep 2011

    A sharp downturn in advanced economies threatens to drag the global economy down with it. The stakes for policymakers could not be higher

  • HUNGARY: Wrong medicine

    HUNGARY: Wrong medicine

    21 Sep 2011

    A government rescue package for Swiss franc mortgage holders could prompt a liquidity drain by foreign banks in Hungary, further hampering growth.

  • JAPAN: Higher ground

    JAPAN: Higher ground

    21 Sep 2011

    After its precipitous decline, some say the only way is up for Japan’s economy. Even still, the outlook remains bleak

  • JAPAN: Sovereign debt

    JAPAN: Sovereign debt

    21 Sep 2011

    A Japanese public debt crisis could be closer than many market players imagine, informed observers suggest.

  • MEXICO: Against the grain

    MEXICO: Against the grain

    21 Sep 2011

    Whoever wins next year’s elections will need to break the deadlock on stalled structural reforms that continue to hamper Mexico’s competitiveness

  • OFFSHORE RENMINBI ROUNDTABLE: The Bond Markets in Depth

    21 Sep 2011

    Hong Kong, August 2011

  • SOUTH SUDAN: Birth of a nation

    SOUTH SUDAN: Birth of a nation

    21 Sep 2011

    As the euphoria of independence dies down, South Sudan is facing up to the reality of building a nation from scratch. But a series of ongoing conflicts could undermine the fledgling state before its institutions have even taken shape

  • SOVEREIGN DEFAULT: A tale of two countries

    SOVEREIGN DEFAULT: A tale of two countries

    21 Sep 2011

    The divergent experiences of Argentina and Uruguay over the past decade show that managing sovereign crises and weighing up whether to default is rarely clear cut – even today

  • CHINA & AFRICA: Law of the land

    CHINA & AFRICA: Law of the land

    09 Jun 2011

    Africa looks poised to gain the upper hand in its negotiations over the investment and trade deals with China that are so central to the continent’s growth model

  • NORTH AFRICA: Rights of spring

    NORTH AFRICA: Rights of spring

    08 Jun 2011

    While the people must make up the democratic deficit, governments must fill the financing gap as Arab Spring nations face up to the economic fallout of revolution

  • AFRICAN ECONOMY: Hope eternal

    AFRICAN ECONOMY: Hope eternal

    07 Jun 2011

    Sub-Saharan Africa has rebounded vigorously following the global crisis, reinforcing a belief that the region’s economic gains will endure. But a darkening global picture once again threatens to expose the chinks in its armour

  • CEE EQUITIES: Lock, stock and three smoking bourses

    CEE EQUITIES: Lock, stock and three smoking bourses

    21 May 2011

    Firms across central and eastern Europe are shunning western markets in favour of listing on the region’s big bourses. But the growth of equity capital markets will depend on nascent markets’ ability to weather a turbulent global environment

  • COMMODITIES: Extreme volatility

    COMMODITIES: Extreme volatility

    21 May 2011

    A dramatic commodity market fall in May has intensified the debate over its medium term outlook. But the growing uncertainty makes tough policy choices that much harder

  • CEE BONDS: Slim pickings

    CEE BONDS: Slim pickings

    20 May 2011

    In the wake of the financial crisis, bond issuance from central and eastern Europe’s corporate sector remains woefully thin – despite its promise

  • CEE ECONOMY: On the rebound

    CEE ECONOMY: On the rebound

    20 May 2011

    Emerging Europe’s economic prospects have started to look up, thanks to resurgent demand in the west and high energy prices. But sustaining this momentum in the face of growing external pressures is far from straightforward

  • CEE MARKETS: Eternal return

    CEE MARKETS: Eternal return

    19 May 2011

    Capital has come flooding back to central and eastern European debt and equity markets following the region’s catastrophic collapse. But storm clouds are gathering once again

  • EURO ACCESSION: Losing its lustre

    EURO ACCESSION: Losing its lustre

    19 May 2011

    The gathering eurozone crisis has left many non-members in central and eastern Europe questioning the wisdom of joining the single currency

  • EUROZONE: Divided we stand

    EUROZONE: Divided we stand

    19 May 2011

    Finding a solution to the Greek debt crisis is crucial to the survival of the single currency - and the future of the European project itself

  • ASIAN DEVELOPMENT: Watanabe’s Way

    ASIAN DEVELOPMENT: Watanabe’s Way

    05 May 2011

    Hiroshi Watanabe, a rumoured successor to ADB president Haruhiko Kuroda, is one of the figures poised to define regional development across Asia. In an exclusive interview with Emerging Markets, he discusses his worries for the future

  • INFRASTRUCTURE: Changing lanes

    INFRASTRUCTURE: Changing lanes

    05 May 2011

    Asian infrastructure investment has been largely state-driven for much of the past decade. For the private sector to help plug the vast funding gap, governments will have to do more than beg

  • SOUTH-EAST ASIA: Dusk to dawn

    SOUTH-EAST ASIA: Dusk to dawn

    05 May 2011

    South-east Asia has struggled for years to recapture its heady pre-1997 dynamism. But as nations look to rebalance their economies, the hope is that the region might once again surge

  • SOUTH-SOUTH TRADE: Tricks of the trade

    SOUTH-SOUTH TRADE: Tricks of the trade

    05 May 2011

    A central question facing the global economy is whether today’s fast-growing emerging economies can maintain their levels of output, especially as the West continues to languish. Trade between developing countries is increasingly seen as a solution – but actions will first have to match up to rhetoric

  • THAILAND: The people’s choice

    THAILAND: The people’s choice

    05 May 2011

    This summer’s elections could finally settle the issue of the legitimacy of prime minister Abhisit Vejjajiva’s government or that of his predecessor Thaksin Shinawatra

  • INDIA: Notes on a scandal

    INDIA: Notes on a scandal

    04 May 2011

    High-profile corruption cases have shaken India’s political and business establishment over the past year. Without proper redress, economic growth and the country’s image could suffer

  • OFFSHORE RMB MARKET: Rise of the redback

    OFFSHORE RMB MARKET: Rise of the redback

    04 May 2011

    The offshore RMB market has exploded in recent months, as companies and financial institutions have rushed to issue Chinese currency-denominated bonds and products. But a range of obstacles will need to be overcome before the yuan can become a true global reserve currency

  • PAKISTAN: Nowhere to turn

    PAKISTAN: Nowhere to turn

    04 May 2011

    Without putting in place credible reforms, including a greater tax take, Pakistan’s economy looks set to deteriorate

  • ADB: Kuroda outlines future funding plans

    ADB: Kuroda outlines future funding plans

    03 May 2011

    In an exclusive interview, ADB president Haruhiko Kuroda outlines the reasons behind his drive to win a substantial boost for the Asian Development Fund

  • ASIAN ECONOMY: Requiem for a dream

    ASIAN ECONOMY: Requiem for a dream

    03 May 2011

    Far from the heady optimism of a year ago, authorities are now grappling with a range of domestic and external challenges. Historically high growth rates cannot be taken for granted and the policy choices made today will decide the region’s fate for years to come

  • CHINA: Is tightening working?

    CHINA: Is tightening working?

    03 May 2011

    China’s authorities have taken a cautious approach to credit tightening and inflation fighting over the past year. Whether their efforts will forestall a hard landing for the economy remains to be seen

  • CHINA: The road to rebalancing

    CHINA: The road to rebalancing

    03 May 2011

    Rebalancing its economy has long been a stated goal of Chinese policy, but so far there has been little to show for it. As growth looks set to slow, the stakes today for China to adopt a new growth model could not be higher

  • JAPAN: Chain reaction

    JAPAN: Chain reaction

    03 May 2011

    Japan’s devastating triple disaster in March exacted a heavy human toll. But the full extent of the costs to Asian and global economies remains unclear

  • ASIAN EQUITIES: Risk return

    ASIAN EQUITIES: Risk return

    01 May 2011

    The bull run that saw Asian markets surge since the global crisis came to a grinding halt in the first half of the year amid fears around overstretched valuations – and inflation. Whatever the long-term story, investors are hunkering down for a turbulent ride

  • INFLATION: A calculated gamble

    INFLATION: A calculated gamble

    01 May 2011

    Asian authorities are scrambling to contain a worrying surge in prices. The fear is that central banks will remain behind the curve despite signs that drivers of inflation are now domestic as well as external

  • EM VIDEO: Divisions deepen over Latin economy risks EM Video

    EM VIDEO: Divisions deepen over Latin economy risks

    29 Mar 2011

    Growing uncertainty over threats to the Latin America's newfound prosperity loomed over the Inter-American Development Bank's meeting in Calgary

  • ARGENTINA: Running to stand still

    ARGENTINA: Running to stand still

    28 Mar 2011

    Cristina Fernández de Kirchner – if she decides to stand – looks set to be the favourite in the presidential elections this October

  • ARGENTINA: Wrong number

    ARGENTINA: Wrong number

    28 Mar 2011

    The long-running controversy over the accuracy of Argentina’s inflation numbers has taken a dramatic turn, with private economists now coming under fire from the government

  • BANKING REGULATION: Standard deviation

    BANKING REGULATION: Standard deviation

    28 Mar 2011

    Decades of regulatory conservatism mean that Latin American banks should have few problems hitting Basel III requirements. But credit risks remain

  • BRAZIL: Dilma’s dilemma

    BRAZIL: Dilma’s dilemma

    28 Mar 2011

    Brazil’s new president, Dilma Rousseff, is facing a baptism of fire. With inflation and capital flows complicating the picture, the government must move fast to restore fiscal credibility

  • CHINA-LATAM: Chasing the dragon

    CHINA-LATAM: Chasing the dragon

    28 Mar 2011

    A massive inflow of Chinese investment into South America last year has brought significant short-term benefits, but could worsen the region’s addiction to commodity exports

  • CHILE: Best is not enough

    CHILE: Best is not enough

    27 Mar 2011

    Chile is struggling to adjust to a sharp change in its terms of trade. Far-reaching measures are needed to keep exports competitive

  • DEBT MARKETS: Taking stock

    DEBT MARKETS: Taking stock

    27 Mar 2011

    While primary issuance of hard currency Latin bonds is holding up, enthusiasm for local debt has started to wane as interest rates spiral upwards

  • INFLATION: Applying the brakes

    INFLATION: Applying the brakes

    27 Mar 2011

    Most South American central banks have tightened in earnest in recent weeks. While for now they might seem in control of the inflation fight, longer-term structural price pressures remain unresolved

  • MINING: Deep pockets

    MINING: Deep pockets

    27 Mar 2011

    Increased demand for raw minerals has sent the prices of resources higher. And governments are increasingly looking for ways to tap into the wealth

  • PERU: Decision time

    PERU: Decision time

    27 Mar 2011

    The race to win Peru’s presidential election on April 10 is still open, with five of the 11 candidates looking like frontrunners

  • VENEZUELA: The limits of control

    VENEZUELA: The limits of control

    27 Mar 2011

    Inflation is soaring in Venezuela, and government policy has only made matters worse

  • HAITI: No end in sight

    HAITI: No end in sight

    26 Mar 2011

    Haiti’s reconstruction programme is poised to move ahead this year. But there will be little immediate relief for its citizens

  • LATIN ECONOMY: When the party’s over

    LATIN ECONOMY: When the party’s over

    26 Mar 2011

    Despite Latin America’s astonishing recovery from the global downturn, policymakers face huge challenges if they are to turn recent momentum into lasting growth

  • MEXICO: False dawn

    MEXICO: False dawn

    26 Mar 2011

    Mexico has rebounded sharply following its worst economic slump for almost a century. But while it may have defied short-term expectations, it will still struggle to overcome its underlying vulnerabilities

  • EM VIDEO: Issues on the table at IDB meeting, Calgary EM Video

    EM VIDEO: Issues on the table at IDB meeting, Calgary

    25 Mar 2011

    Latin America’s finance chiefs gather in Calgary this weekend with an optimistic outlook for the region’s economic prospects. But can the global conditions that helped make this newfound prosperity possible hold up?

  • Latin America Sovereign Debt Roundtable

    25 Mar 2011

  • COMMODITIES: Return of the super-cycle

    COMMODITIES: Return of the super-cycle

    24 Mar 2011

    A sharp increase in commodity prices has rekindled expectations of a multi-year super-cycle, with profound implications for policy, trade and growth

  • INVESTMENT: Ebb and flow

    INVESTMENT: Ebb and flow

    24 Mar 2011

    Outflows from emerging market funds this year have brought the investment case for Latin America into focus once again. Despite solid fundamentals, regional markets are still at the mercy of external forces

EM Week


In Focus: Eastern Europe

  1. Eurozone deleveraging threatens CEE growth

  2. Malev turbulence set to roil Hungarian state finances

  3. Romania 'risks losing investor credibility'

  4. Hungary: a temporary hiatus